Author Archives: Damien Kingsbury

About Damien Kingsbury

http://www.deakin.edu.au/profiles/damien-kingsbury

Asymetric diplomacy and regime change in Syria

Within 24 hours of the US air strike on an air base in Syria last week, the US claimed it was not pursuing regime change. That was a ‘kiss of death’. Four days later, as he landed on Russian soil, US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said that Syria’s President Bashar al Assad must go. […]

The Dalai Lama provokes an assertive China

China’s regional assertiveness has entered a new phase with the Dalai Lama provoking China in its long disputed border region with India. China has warned India ‘not to complicate issues’ by allowing the Dalai Lama to use a visit to a border area to promote Tibetan separatism. Tibet has long been a sensitive issue for […]

Some things change, some don’t in Timor-Leste

Alberto da Silva stood on a rise, in a red tightly zipped jacket against the ‘cool’ of the  morning,  surveying the voters for Timor-Leste’s presidential election lined up in the village of Leohitu just below. Leohitu sits at the end of about six kilometres of varyiable dirt road at the end of an often shaded […]

Australia Timor-Leste Election Observer Mission 2017 Official Statement

AUSTRALIA TIMOR-LESTE ELECTION OBSERVER MISSION (ATLEOM) 2017 TIMOR-LESTE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, 20 MARCH 2017 OFFICIAL STATEMENT 23 March 2017 Damien Kingsbury and Michael Maley The Australia Timor-Leste Election Observer Mission, auspiced by the Victorian Local Governance Association and supported by the Australia Timor-Leste Friendship Network, is pleased to announce that the conduct of Timor-Leste’s presidential election […]

Timor-Leste’s king-maker delivers to Lu-Olo

Timor-Leste’s presidential election looks to have produced a strong victory for Fretilin’s serial candidate, Francisco ‘Lu-Olo’ Guterres. While results remains unofficial, based on a largely complete tally, Lu-Olo was looking to have around 57 per cent of the total vote for the mostly ceremonial role of president. This means that Lu-Olo will comfortably surpass the […]

Timor-Leste presidential elections

Timor-Leste goes to the polls on Monday to elect a new president. After a profoundly troubled history, this small and still impoverished country the election should, happily, be relatively unproblematic. The elections have so far seen limited conflict, with a Fretilin-PD disturbance in Dili’s outer west reportedly leaving some homes burned. Election rallies have otherwise […]

The Netherlands facing a far right challenge

The Netherlands goes to the polls next Wednesday in what is likely to establish a new model for European politics as it increasingly confronts the rise of the far right. As far right parties appeal to larger blocs of votes, political competition is becoming one of centrist parties banding together to block political extremism. ‘Godwin’s […]

The Battle for Mosul

The battle for Iraq’s second city, Mosul, is entering its final phase, signalling a significant shift in the status of politics in the Middle East. The eventual, if still lengthy and bloody, capture of the city will mark the Iraqi Army’s most significant victory since its post-Saddam Hussein inception, as well as a more clear […]

Rise of the Far Right in a xenophobic, alt. fact world

President Trump’s first two weeks in office have continued to reflect that ‘tearing up the rule book’ approach to politics and diplomacy, as Australia’s beleaguered Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull discovered when Trump humiliatingly tweeted his response to the Australia-US refugee-swap agreement. Even China, the world’s rising superpower, has been shocked at President Trump’s approach to […]